COVID-19 Vaccine: The Failure of the Pasteur Institute Second-order Cindynics, conflictuality reduction and operational efficiency Author: IFREI 17 March 2021 The announcement of the termination of the Pasteur Institute's main COVID-19 vaccine candidate dismayed the French. At first, it seemed relevant to ... Read More Actions for COVID-19 Vaccine: The Failure of the Pasteur Institute Print covid-19 conflictuality second-order friction
2019 Failed Coup in Gabon: Probabilities vs Cindynics Construction of collective action: third-order MRC modeling and power assessments Author: IFREI 12 March 2021 In a previous post, we described how going beyond probabilistic approaches enabled the mastery of propensities to emerge as the central concept of the ... Read More Actions for 2019 Failed Coup in Gabon: Probabilities vs Cindynics Print power conflictuality coup gabon second-order third-order
2019 Failed Coup in Gabon: The Deepfake Theory Anyhow, it remains true that deepfakes are giving rise to a sea change in the genesis of conflictualities Author: IFREI 03 March 2021 In early 2019, a handful of soldiers attempted a coup in Gabon. The Gabonese domestic situation was conflictual since the 2016 presidential election and ... Read More Actions for 2019 Failed Coup in Gabon: The Deepfake Theory Print disinformation conflictuality coup gabon second-order
Weaving Models With MRC A visualisation of the interweaving of risk and conflict Author: IFREI 21 February 2021 After having highlighted the need to go beyond probabilistic risk modeling, Georges-Yves Kervern undertook to model danger situations. At that time, he ... Read More Actions for Weaving Models With MRC Print risk conflict mrc second-order
How Cindynics Went Beyond Probabilities Putting the human being back at the heart of the reflection on danger issues Author: IFREI 18 February 2021 Cindynics have occasionally been erroneously presented as relying on the use of probability theory. Not only is this not the case, but this is the worst ... Read More Actions for How Cindynics Went Beyond Probabilities Print propensity power agency civil war structuralism
Patents vs Access to Covid Vaccines in Africa : An Example of Axiological Degeneracy Manufacturing capabilities are underutilised in the midst of the pandemic Author: Pascal Cohet 03 February 2021 The cindynical approach to the Risk-Conflict-Development complex puts humans back at the heart of vulnerability reduction strategies. Thus, actors of the ... Read More Actions for Patents vs Access to Covid Vaccines in Africa : An Example of Axiological Degeneracy Print degeneracies covid-19 patents second-order