Cindyniques du second ordre, réduction des conflictualités et efficience opérationnelle
Author: IFREI
17 March 2021
L'annonce de l'abandon du principal candidat vaccin anti-Covid de l'Institut Pasteur a provoqué la stupeur, en France. Dans un premier temps, il semblait ...
Construction of collective action: third-order MRC modeling and power assessments
Author: IFREI
12 March 2021
In a previous post, we described how going beyond probabilistic approaches enabled the mastery of propensities to emerge as the central concept of the ...
Anyhow, it remains true that deepfakes are giving rise to a sea change in the genesis of conflictualities
Author: IFREI
03 March 2021
In early 2019, a handful of soldiers attempted a coup in Gabon. The Gabonese domestic situation was conflictual since the 2016 presidential election and ...
A visualisation of the interweaving of risk and conflict
Author: IFREI
21 February 2021
After having highlighted the need to go beyond probabilistic risk modeling, Georges-Yves Kervern undertook to model danger situations. At that time, he ...
Putting the human being back at the heart of the reflection on danger issues
Author: IFREI
18 February 2021
Cindynics have occasionally been erroneously presented as relying on the use of probability theory. Not only is this not the case, but this is the worst ...
Manufacturing capabilities are underutilised in the midst of the pandemic
Author: Pascal Cohet
03 February 2021
The cindynic approach to the Risk-Conflict-Development complex puts humans back at the heart of vulnerability reduction strategies. Thus, actors of the ...
Purchasing local journalists & killing Russian journalists
Author: IFREI
31 January 2021
While Russian information operations in Bangui rely on Facebook or school propaganda, radio stations and the press are also manipulated : these maneuvers ...